Monday, September 11, 2006

Ortiz Makes Stupid Comments; Ensures Jeter MVP

Now your failure is complete.
ESPN: Ortiz says he should still be considered for MVP.
Say what you want about 'Captain Intangibles', but he'd never make a comment about his own MVP candidacy. Matter of fact, he rarely gives an answer to any loaded question of any kind. Mentioning that Jermaine Dye or Justin Morneau could win "depending on who makes the playoffs" does not advance Ortiz's point either. And bringing up Rodriguez just makes him should like a frustrated B-hatted blogger with the complete DVD set who has secretly started to believe in the curse again. His lineup comments are ridiculous as well; few players in all of baseball has better lineup protection than Ortiz, with Manny Ramirez hitting fourth. Of course the most important point is one that Ortiz has recognized: how can the MVP be from a team that's ten games back?


Anonymous Major Kong said...

While Jeter will probably ride those intangibles all the way to the MVP, does he deserve it?

I've got some time on my hands, so I'll do some analysis for you. Time to break out the cool BP stats:

Travis Hafner: 80.1 VORP-.352 EQA-9.5 WARP3
Derek Jeter: 73.8 VORP-.320 EQA-11.2 WARP3
Grady Sizemore: 66.9 VORP-.312 EQA-10.1 WARP3
Jermaine Dye: 66.6 VORP-.329 EQA-9.6 WARP3
David Ortiz: 64.5 VORP-327 EQA-8.2 WARP3
Manny Ramirez: 60.9 VORP-.336 EQA-7.5 WARP3
Joe Mauer: 60.6 VORP-.321 EQA-9.8 WARP3
Miguel Tejada: 60.4 VORP-.304 EQA-10.1 WARP3
Jim Thome 58.3 VORP-.331 EQA-7.6 WARP3
Vernon Wells 56.3 VORP-.299 EQA-6.9 WARP3
Carlos Guillen 52.6 VORP-.303 EQA-7.0 WARP3
Justin Morneau 45.1 VORP-.310 EQA-8.6 WARP3

This is a very interesting race for several reasons. Right now, Jeter does in fact deserve the MVP. He's having the second best offensive year of his career and his defense is at league average rather than his career level of "actually kinda sucks."

That said, a lot can happen in 20 days, and there are plenty of guys who still have a good shot. So, who has a chance?

As a result of the ridiculous "rule" that a player is deemed ineligible if his team does not make the playoffs, I think we can safely agree that Travis Hafner, Grady Sizemore, Miguel Tejada and Vernon Wells, despite having excellent seasons, will perform poorly in the voting. (I left out Mssrs. Ortiz and Ramirez for a reason)

Carlos Guillen is the best player on the best team, and is having a fine season, but I bet nobody with a vote cares. Sadly, you do need some publicity to win this award.

That brings me to the clear-cut winner of the AL MVP, if ESPN decided it, David Ortiz. After being crowned in laurels and paraded around as the sure-fire winner for all of July and August, Ortiz got the dreaded "health problems." I really think that voters would have broken the "must make playoffs rule" for Ortiz, for reasons too regretable to repeat here.

Manny Ramirez on the other hand, can blame his own teammate for his lack of publicity. Despite having a better offensive year than Ortiz, Manny gets discounted because he's insane. But if they wouldn't give him the MVP when he had 165 RBI's why would they now? Ramirez will surely go down in history as one of the best players ever never to win.

So, who are we left with? Jeter, Dye, Mauer, Thome, and Morneau. The White Sox and Twins will probably be going down to the wire, so we can instantly elimate two candidates should either team not make it. As much as I like Thome, I feel there are no good reasons for his candidacy when Dye has been better in practically every way. And there simply isn't enough that's interesting about Morneau. I think both he and Thome are being overshadowed by what a pair of First Basemen are doing in the NL.

So we are left with Jeter, Mauer, and Dye. At this point, I would be shocked if anyone other than these three wins it, and Jeter should be the favorite. I guess Santana's been getting some buzz, but that's just not gonna happen.

Tune in next week for my commentary on the immensely less interesting NL MVP race...

Mon Sep 11, 04:24:00 PM EDT  
Blogger Craig said...

I don't have anything as in-depth to add as all that, just two comments. Actually, make it three:

1) Your link is broken. (that's the extra comment)

2) Not only is Ortiz wrong with his comments about the relative strengths of the lineups in question, but I like the way he takes a shit all over his teammates. "Top to bottom, you've got a guy who can hurt you. Come hit in this lineup, see how good you can be." Very good David, tell us all about how terrible everyone around you is. That'll win you sympathy.

3) David Ortiz has a huge melon. Gargantuan. Considering that this is all the proof that most fans need that Barry Bonds is a 'roider (not that he isn't, but most fans couldn't care less about things like "burden of proof"), I'm more than happy to put Ortiz into the "under suspicion" category.

Mon Sep 11, 05:20:00 PM EDT  
Blogger David Bowie said...

I've certainly always suspected that about Ortiz, what with his sudden shift in talent between his years with the Twins and Red Sox. I absolutely agree with my friend the Major that Ortiz, fairly or not, was the media's choice for the award before the injury and the team's collapse.
The obvious retort to this is, of course, the very real involvement of Giambi and Sheffield in the steriods controversy. But steriods or not, the man is certainly big-headed, both in words and figure.

Mon Sep 11, 05:36:00 PM EDT  
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